09 / Award watch
WHO FITSTHE TROPHY.
Each award's last ten winners set the bar. Every player this season is measured against their profile, built from every stat that could matter, team success included.
How the fit score works
For each award we take its last ten winners (the 2015 to 2025 seasons, 2020 left out like everywhere else on the site) and their numbers through the regular season and conference title games, the window most voting happens in. The profile uses every stat that could matter for the award, nine to eighteen of them: production and efficiency, plus team win percentage, team scoring margin and whether the team plays in a power conference.
Each season, every stat is measured against that season's qualifying players at the award's positions, so a 2018 season and a 2026 season compare fairly. A stat counts as much as the past winners stood out on it; stats where winners looked like everyone else count for nothing. A player's fit score compares how much he stands out on those stats with how much the average winner did: 100 means exactly as much. Each stat is capped at 1.5 times the winners' level so one huge number cannot carry a player alone. The three stats on each card are the player's own heaviest-weighted numbers; team stats count in the score but are listed, not charted.
Players need a real workload to qualify (for example 15 passes a game for quarterbacks, six field goal tries for kickers). Read the list as "whose season looks most like a winner's," not a forecast of the vote, which also weighs reputation and narrative. Tackle stats do not exist for 2015 and one Ted Hendricks winner played in Division II, so a few profiles use nine or eight winners. Stats: CollegeFootballData.com. Photos: ESPN.