0teams rated on one scale
0games analyzed
0simulated seasons
0winners picked, out of sample
The top twelve
Right now, the best twelve.
One number, two questions
HOW GOOD?
POWER
Points better than an average D-I team, on a neutral field, adjusted for every opponent.
+
HOW HARD?
RÉSUMÉ
How unlikely it is for a top-25 team to match this exact record on this exact schedule.
=
THE ANSWER
INDEX
Half and half. Nothing from last year, recruiting, betting lines or anybody's poll.
Explore
01RankingsAll 266 teams on one ladder, with full profiles.→
02TeamsPick a team and read its season as a story.→
03MatchupPick any two teams and simulate it 10,000 times.→
04This weekEvery upcoming game, with scores and upset watch.→
05OutlookWho is projected to finish No. 1, and where everyone lands.→
06PlayoffThe projected 12-team field, bracket and title chances.→
07HistoryEvery prediction on the record, graded against the final score.→
08MethodExactly how every number is made.→